Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.360663 0.411766 0.466411 0.529062 0.598774 0.673827 0.760606
2025-11-23 0.272309 0.340642 0.419362 0.516213 0.631586 0.764021 0.926900
2025-11-30 0.217514 0.296472 0.393928 0.521739 0.683466 0.879712 1.134079
2025-12-07 0.170982 0.253370 0.362032 0.513370 0.715828 0.974162 1.325017
2025-12-14 0.139578 0.223839 0.342065 0.516027 0.760672 1.086992 1.548544
2025-12-21 0.111987 0.194168 0.316644 0.506595 0.786577 1.175686 1.746848
2025-12-28 0.097111 0.180578 0.311796 0.524843 0.851768 1.322162 2.034372
2026-01-04 0.084799 0.168609 0.307202 0.542036 0.915976 1.471241 2.335699
2026-01-11 0.072109 0.153437 0.294908 0.544923 0.957627 1.589312 2.599189
2026-01-18 0.061346 0.139542 0.282427 0.545335 0.994356 1.701407 2.859947
2026-01-25 0.052121 0.126668 0.269619 0.543107 1.025639 1.806107 3.114796
2026-02-01 0.044665 0.115796 0.258708 0.542471 1.058705 1.914831 3.381377
2026-02-08 0.038539 0.106613 0.249854 0.544809 1.097555 2.036500 3.677970
2026-02-15 0.032606 0.096531 0.237627 0.539144 1.121343 2.134324 3.941338
2026-02-22 0.028929 0.091026 0.234025 0.549714 1.175301 2.286472 4.303142
2026-03-01 0.024578 0.082745 0.223077 0.543993 1.197892 2.385143 4.579579
2026-03-08 0.021556 0.077270 0.217540 0.548716 1.240573 2.521529 4.927674
2026-03-15 0.018202 0.069940 0.206425 0.539979 1.255677 2.608573 5.193541
2026-03-22 0.016782 0.068061 0.208271 0.560032 1.330138 2.808661 5.669714
2026-03-29 0.015434 0.066062 0.209496 0.578714 1.403024 3.009571 6.156571
2026-04-05 0.013593 0.061909 0.204433 0.582091 1.443907 3.151829 6.542925
2026-04-12 0.011889 0.057715 0.198545 0.582731 1.478768 3.284089 6.916593
2026-04-19 0.010317 0.053492 0.191841 0.580503 1.506980 3.404566 7.273363